Final Oscar Predictions

Tomorrow the Academy of Motion Pictures Arts and Sciences will announce the nominations for the 83rd Annual Academy Awards. I’ve been making monthly predictions since November, but these are the real deal. I’ll likely get many wrong, mainly because some of them will come from the heart rather than the mind. Anyways, here we go:

Note: The ★ represent those who I think will win. Obviously, my mind is likely to change, and I’m choosing some of this from the heart, so, yeah. And I will make some final winners predictions the day before the actual ceremony.

Also, I will not be predicting Best Foreign Language Film since I haven’t seen any of the shortlisters

Best Picture

  • Black Swan
  • The Fighter
  • Inception
  • The Kids Are All Right
  • The King’s Speech
  • ★The Social Network
  • The Town
  • Toy Story 3
  • True Grit
  • Winter’s Bone

127 Hours, although nominated for the PGA, will likely not make it since many refused to watch for that scene. So, while I’m predicting Winter’s Bone, the last spot could go to Danny Boyle’s film, and hopefully it will.

Best Director

  • Darren Aronofsky, Black Swan
  • David O. Russell, The Fighter
  • Christopher Nolan, Inception
  • Tom Hooper, The King’s Speech
  • ★David Fincher, The Social Network

Although Tom Hooper got nominated for the DGA award, the guild has many members who work primarily on TV. So, since he is mostly known for his work on TV, it is easy to see why he would get nominated. But, AMPAS is more special, so I can see him missing on an Oscar nomination despite the Weinstein factor, but it’s unlikely to happen. Still, if anyone gets snubbed to include the Coens, it is likely to be him

Best Actor

  • Jeff Bridges, True Grit
  • Robert Duval, Get Low
  • Jesse Eisenberg, The Social Network
  • ★Colin Firth, The King’s Speech
  • James Franco, 127 Hours

Javier Bardem and Ryan Gosling could make it in, but it’s gonna be tough as all of these are pretty much locked. If anyone falls, it will be Duvall

Best Actress

  • Annette Bening, The Kids Are All Right
  • Jennifer Lawrence, Winter’s Bone
  • Nicole Kidman, Rabbit Hole
  • ★Natalie Portman, Black Swan
  • Hailee Steinfeld, True Grit

Steinfeld is being campaigned for Supporting Actress, but I’m hoping that they will do the same as with Keisha Castle-Hughes for Whale Rider (and to a lesser extent Kate Winslet for The Reader), and put her in the right category. Also, watch out for Hilary Swank, Julianne Moore, and Michelle Williams, the latter being the most worthy, especially over Benning’s over-rated performance.

Best Supporting Actor

  • ★Christian Bale, The Fighter
  • Andrew Garfield, The Social Network
  • Jeremy Renner, The Town
  • Mark Ruffalo, The Kids Are All Right
  • Geoffrey Rush, The King’s Speech

As much as I liked Andrew Garfield he’s the weakest link here, so I cans see Matt Damon taking his spot due to the success of the film. Also, John Hawks from Winter’s Bone is a strong possibility

Best Supporting Actress

  • Amy Adams, The Fighter
  • Helena Bonham Carter, The King’s Speech
  • Melissa Leo, The Fighter
  • Lesley Manville, Another Year
  • ★Jacki Weaver, Animal Kingdom

Weaver is still not a sure things, especially if they choose to put Steinfeld in supporting. But I’m pulling for Weaver, and I do believe that if nominated, she will win.

Best Adapted Screenplay

  • The Ghost Writer
  • ★The Social Network
  • Toy Story 3
  • True Grit
  • Winter’s Bone

The Town might get in instead of Winter’s Bone or The Ghost Writer, but who are we kidding, Aaron Sorkin will take it.

Best Original Screenplay

  • Another Year
  • Black Swan
  • Inception
  • The Kids Are All Right
  • ★The King’s Speech

I’m hoping that Blue Valentine makes it in over Black Swan, but it’s unlikely.

Best Art Direction

  • Alice in Wonderland
  • Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part 1
  • ★Inception
  • The King’s Speech
  • True Grit

Hoping for TRON: Legacy to surprise in here, but these are pretty much locks.

Best Cinematography

  • Black Swan
  • Inception
  • Shutter Island
  • The Social Network
  • ★True Grit

The King’s Speech could land in here given that it got a nomination for the American Society of Cinematographers instead of Shutter Island, but I’m sticking with it.

Best Costume Design

  • ★Alice in Wonderland
  • Burlesque
  • The King’s Speech
  • The Tempest
  • True Grit

Alice in Wonderland should take this in a cakewalk. As for nominations, watch out for Black Swan if it is as beloved as I think it will be.

Best Documentary

  • Exit Through the Gift Shop
  • Inside Job
  • Restrepo
  • Sweet Grass
  • ★Waiting for “Superman”

It’s unlikely that Exit Through the Giftshop will be nominated, but I’m sticking by it and hoping for the best.

Best Film Editing

  • Black Swan
  • The Fighter
  • ★Inception
  • 127 Hours
  • The Social Network

All would be worthy nominees. Shame the best editing of the year (Scott Pillgrim) won’t be joining them.

Best Makeup

  • ★Alice in Wonderland
  • The Way Back
  • The Wolfman

Alice and The Wolfman should be locks. For the third spot, I’m just looking at the most prestigious title. But watch out for Barney’s Version.

Best Original Score

  • Alice in Wonderland, Danny Elfman
  • The Ghost Writer, Alexandre Desplat
  • How to Train Your Dragon, John Powell
  • ★Inception, Hans Zimmer
  • The Social Network, Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross

Still hoping that Desplat will be nominated for his best score of the year, not the worst in his career.

Best Original Song

  • “I See the Light” from Tangled
  • “If I Rise” from 127 Hours
  • “Shine” from Waiting for “Superman”
  • ★“We Belong Together” from Toy Story 3
  • “You Haven’t Seen the Last of Me” from Burlesque

Just picking the most popular titles. You never know what these guys will come up with in this category.

Best Sound Editing

  • How to Train Your Dragon
  • ★Inception
  • Toy Story 3
  • TRON Legacy
  • True Grit

Should be locks, all of them, but TRON is fading.

Best Sound Mixing

  • Black Swan
  • ★Inception
  • Scott Pilgrim Vs. The World
  • The Social Network
  • True Grit

Sticking with Pilgrim ’till the end

Best Visual Effects

  • Alice in Wonderland
  • Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, part 1
  • ★Inception
  • Scott Pilgrim Vs the World
  • TRON Legacy

Smart money says that Iron Man 2 will make it instead of Pilgrim, but I’m sticking with it in hopes that the voters will go for creativity instead of more of the same.

Best Animated Feature

  • How to Train Your Dragon
  • Tangled
  • ★Toy Story 3

Tangled may not make it as in just about every other awards show that has had three nominees it has been replaced by the unworthy Despicable Me, but it’s Disney and it made a pretty penny, so…

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